A | "A large part of former President Trump's popularity with his supporters is that he fights back against the establishment, whether it be the 'swamp' in Washington, DC, or the political party elites," says Timothy Hagle, a political science professor at the University of Iowa. "He has certainly been speaking out about the raid, but we will have to wait to see if anything comes of it. By that I mean whether there are any charges actually filed. Unlike most Americans, and aside from his media platforms, Trump has the resources to fight what he thinks are unfair actions by the government.",The FBI's unannounced search of Donald Trump's premises in Mar-a-Lago, Florida has reinvigorated his base, a Politico/Morning Consult survey shows. 58 percent of Republican voters said they would vote for the former president if the 2024 Republican presidential primary were today. The share of support is visibly up from 54% in July and 53% in June, according to the pollsters. Likewise, a whopping 71% of GOP voters insist that Trump should run for president in 2024. Moreover, 72% of Republicans said they disagreed with the Mar-a-Lago raid.,Sputnik ExplainsFirst Assange, Now Trump: How Espionage Act of 1917 Became a Political Tool15:16 GMT,The Daily Mail argues, however, that the poll was conducted prior to the release of the FBI's search warrant and receipt, which showed that the bureau took at least 11 sets of classified documents from Trump's Florida house, with the Justice Department having probable cause to carry out the search based on possible Espionage Act abuses.,However, on August 13, Fox News broke that the FBI had allegedly laid their hands on documents shielded by client-attorney and executive privilege, with Donald Trump taking to his social media platform Truth Social and demanding that the documents in question be returned. The president lambasted the bureau for the raid, insisting that it was unnecessary and unjustified given that all documents in his possession were declassified and he and his team were ready to provide access to them any time.,"For the FBI to raid the home of the 45 President of the United States, or any President for that matter, is totally unheard of and unthinkable," Trump wrote on Sunday. "This Break In was a sneak attack on democracy (our Republic!), and was both unannounced and done at a time when the President was not even present.",Trump supporters reacted passionately to the ex-president's posts by rallying outside Mar-a-Lago and Trump's Bedminster, New Jersey golf club. They were seen holding signs reading "Save America" and "You raided the wrong president.",Sputnik ExplainsHow Trump's 2024 Bid & Jan 6 Committee's Effort to Delegitimize Him May Pan Out19 July, 18:41 GMT,Midterm Elections at Stake,The unfolding situation will definitely backfire on the upcoming November midterm elections, according to Hagle.,"The overall effect on the midterm elections will vary depending on how the situation plays out," the political science professor says. "Trump supporters, and Republicans more generally, were already quite motivated to vote in the midterms, but this just intensifies that desire. Democrats were less motivated and the party was desperately searching for something to get their base motivated. Some thought the Supreme Court's abortion decision might do so, but that doesn't seem to have happened beyond a certain group of core voters.",Hagle notes that Democrats were successful with an "anti-Trump" approach in 2020; he believes that they would like to try that again.,"The thinking might be that if Trump is, figuratively, on the ballot it would help them in the midterms," the academic remarks. "I'm not so sure. There may be some who get more motivated with an anti-Trump fervor, but the economy will still be the key for the important voters who are less concerned about politics and more about day to day living.",The FBI raid came after mainstream media reports that Trump may announce his presidential bid in September 2022 or even earlier. Politico and The Washington Post reported in mid-July that the former president had met with top Republican donors, discussing the midterms and a potential 2024 campaign.,The DoJ investigation into Trump triggered speculation that he may announce his new presidential bid very soon, the Daily Mail reports, also referring to a new "campaign-style video" released by the ex-president on his Truth Social platform.,Meanwhile, Republican Senator Rand Paul has called on US lawmakers to repeal the 1917 Espionage Act, after it turned out that the DoJ suspects Trump of violating Section 793 of the law. Section 793 specifically addresses "gathering, transmitting or losing defense information," and also includes refusal to return information that is demanded by the government.,"I don't think it's realistic to suggest that it be repealed," says Hagle. "It's more likely that certain limitations could be placed on it to help prevent the abuses that people perceive are occurring with it.",In addition to that, there are assumptions that the FBI raid was nothing short of a fishing expedition connected to the probe by the House Select Committee on January 6 Attack aimed at delegitimizing him before the 2024 race.,"The Justice Department should 'show that this was not just a fishing expedition, that they had due cause to go in and to do this, that they did exhaust all other means," Republican Senator Mike Rounds told NBC's Meet the Press, suggesting that the release of the FBI's affidavit would help. "And if they can't do that, then we've got a serious problem on our hands."。
B | 寒假安全 致家长的一封信 尊敬的家长朋友： 您好！ 孩子们盼望的寒假生活即将来临，为了让孩子度过一个“平安、文明、愉快、健康”的假期和春节，请您接过教育的接力棒，认真履行监护人的职责，做好孩子的假期安全防范工作，我们齐心协力为孩子的健康成长保驾护航！ 开福区教育局北辰第二幼儿园 开福区教育局北辰第三幼儿园 01 利剑护蕾防性侵 1.加强教育。向孩子普及性知识，帮助孩子建立性别意识，了解性知识。告诉孩子背心和小裤衩遮住的地方都是隐私部位，不许他人触碰、看。 2.培养危机意识。告诉孩子不要随便吃喝陌生人给的食品或饮料，避免单独和陌生人在家里或密闭的环境，家长不能接送时，不独自出门。 3.关注孩子动态。
C | 不轻易把孩子交给除家人以外的人照看，对照看孩子的人要充分了解。无论多忙，细心观察孩子的异常反应，如变得胆小、爱哭，忽然害怕和父母亲热等。 4.建立良好沟通渠道。多和孩子聊天，关心孩子在外面玩要的点点滴滴，让孩子感受到您的关心，愿意主动和您分享内心想法。当孩子倾诉时，无论事情大小，都要认真倾听，给予回应。 02 防冻防滑防溺水 1.注意防寒保暖，预防冻伤。冬季天气寒冷，要适时增加衣服、穿好棉衣裤、棉鞋，戴好手套、帽子、围巾，防止冻坏身体、冻伤手脚，防止感冒。 2.不要在有积雪、结冰的路面上玩耍，以防滑倒造成摔伤事故。 3.溺水是造成未成年意外死亡的第一杀手。希望家长朋友务必增强安全意识，切实承担起监护责任，加强对孩子的教育和管理，做到：禁止孩子独自或结伴滑野冰；不去河边、工地水塘等区域玩耍；不捡拾掉入河道等水域的物品；如果遇到同伴溺水，告诉孩子要智慧救援，不要盲目下水救人及手拉手施救，要及时大声呼救并拨打报警电话。 03 交通安全 1.自觉遵守交通规则，不在公路上跑闹、玩耍。 2.横穿公路要走斑马线（人行横道），不得随意横穿，不逆行。 3.不在马路上嬉戏打闹，不在行走和骑车时看手机、听音乐，不在车辆盲区内玩耍。
D | 4.年满12周岁才可以骑自行车上道路行驶，年满16周岁可以骑行电动自行车。 5.遵守公共秩序，排队等车，车未停稳不得靠近车辆，上下车时不拥挤，不乘坐无牌、无证车辆。 04 用电安全 1.不使用“三无”电器，不在同一接线板上同时使用多种大功率电器，不用湿手触摸电源开关和电器。 2.要在家长的指导下逐步学会使用家用电器；不要乱动、乱接电线、灯头、插座等；不要在标有“高压危险”的地方玩耍。 3.不能用湿手触摸或湿抹布触碰电器；手机充电完毕要及时拔掉插头。 05 消防安全 春节期间是用火、用电、燃放烟花爆竹的高峰期，增加了发生火灾的风险，要做到： 1.教育监管孩子远离易燃易爆物品，不玩火，不携带火种；发现火灾不得逞能上前灭火，要及时报告大人或报警。 2.在家中安全用电，不超负荷用电；不长时间使用电器，以免发热产生短路；电器设备不用时，要及时切断电源。
E | 3.家中可准备灭火器、灭火毯、燃气报警器、逃生绳等消防用品；学会正确的火灾逃生、报警及灭火知识。 06 燃放烟花爆竹安全 1.要教育孩子遵守烟花爆竹燃放规定，不违规购买、存储、燃放烟花爆竹。 2.家长要以身作则，严格遵守烟花爆竹燃放规定。 07 外出游玩安全 外出游玩，家长一定要提醒孩子提高防范意识，注意人身安全。 1.教育孩子不单独外出，如有特殊情况，一定要征得父母的同意，并说明去向。 2.防止在景区、商场等人员密集的地方遭遇拥挤踩踏。 3.在公共场所时要防止与父母走散，不轻信陌生人的话，不接受陌生人的食品，不跟陌生人走。 4.遇有大风、暴雪等恶劣天气，要严防被广告牌、高空坠物等砸伤。 5.景点旅游注意遵守秩序规定，不冒险到未开发区域游玩。 08 饮食安全 1.自觉养成良好的个人卫生习惯，饭前便后勤洗手，防止传染病的发生。 2.购买有包装的食品时，要看清商标、生产日期、保质期等，“三无”食品、过期食品一定不要购买食用。
F | 3.生吃瓜果要注意洗干净后才可食用，不吃腐烂、变质的瓜果。 4.不暴饮暴食，做好个人卫生及居家卫生，积极参加体育锻炼，增强体质，预防传染病的侵袭。 09 网络安全 1.家长以身作则，上网及使用手机、平板电脑、游戏机等电子产品要有节制，不沉溺网络。多陪伴孩子，以淡化网络的吸引。
G | 2.教育孩子从网络中获取健康有益的信息，不打或少打游戏。 3.网上处处有陷阱，防止网络诈骗，告诫孩子不要随意在网上充值、打赏，正常需要的充值服务项目，请家长帮助核对和确认，切记：网上给钱不要，要钱不给！ 4.正确看待网络的作用，辨别不良信息，拒绝有害低俗信息的诱惑，学会控制欲望，学会自律。
H | 10 取暖用气安全 1.冬季碳火取暖要注意通风换气，要保持烟道畅通不漏气，安装换气设施，防止一氧化碳中毒。
I | 2.定期检查与更换燃具连接胶管，防止燃气泄漏。发现漏气时，立即关闭气源，清除火种，打开门窗通风，切勿启动排风扇、抽油烟机等电器。 3.教育孩子不要随意拨弄燃气具开关和划火点灶，防止发生意外。
J | 11 心理安全 1.家长要以身作则，做孩子的榜样，努力营造一个关爱孩子、邻里和睦、家庭温馨的环境以利于孩子健康、快乐成长。
K | 2.若发现孩子有心理、行为异常要及时介入，正确应对，防止意外发生。
L | 12 其他安全 1.教育孩子远离窗户边、阳台，不攀爬高处，并告诉孩子高空坠落的后果。 2.假期里人员流动和聚集性活动增多，请家长与孩子注意预防流感等传染病。 3.教育孩子吃东西时要细嚼慢咽，不能边跑边吃，谨防异物卡喉。 4.如果家中有宠物，提醒孩子宠物进食时不要随意挑逗，谨防宠物暴起伤人。 5.提醒小朋友不要躲到洗衣机、柜子等狭小空间里，以防被困，并告诉孩子不要将手、脚等身体部位塞进门缝等处，谨防被卡。
M | 家长朋友，孩子的成长离不开您的呵护，请您切实担负起监护人的职责，与孩子一起度过一个温馨难忘的寒假。最后，祝您新春愉快，阖家欢乐！ 文字 | 黄慧霞 编辑 | 黄慧霞 一审 | 王芋力 二审 | 黄绍涛 三审 | 刘 宇。
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